Real Estate Trends – Reality check


Real Estate trends and DB’s presentation was so hot that this provoke me to write few words about this topic.

So let’s take a look of the charts first.

First NAHB Housing Index – Main housing index showing little hope for  RE stabilization.

housing

Philadelphia Housing Index – Consolidation mode … No sign for trend change IMO

hgx

HGX- 2005 was the PEAK do not listen to experts calling 2006 or 2007 was Peak of RE ..Where is the bottom ?

hgx2

UK Real Estate  – PAIN MODE is ON

ukre

Real Estate is main cause of problems for banking sector asRE is main reason for Asset deflation which directly hit Banks balance sheets.

I am wondering why everybody expects to see  V shape recovery in REAL ESTATE? I am leaning to L-Shape scenario !!!

I do not know the future of Real Estate but  is not the my favorite investment neither in the past or now. Real Estate in long run yeilds no more than inflation.

IB

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